Trying to make sense of NCVS 2022.
I think that a possible cause for the disparity could be that official violent crime data might be lower because Cities have a police manpower shortages causing delays in police response. The result could be victims leaving the scene before the police arrive. There would be a 911 call indicating a violent crime but no police report. The initial call might be changed or downgraded because the victim was GOA/UTL (gone on arrival/unable to locate). This could cause the NCVS to have an artificial increase over police data.
Read Jeff Asher’s and see how my theory fits.
— Read on jasher.substack.com/p/did-gun-violence-actually-surge-in
Future of Policing 