Episode 14: When the Police Back Off

There have been many questions about police proactive behavior and its impact on crime. In 2020 two events caused police officers to “back off” on their street activity. Dr. Jessica Huff explains the research into de-policing and how a reduction in proactive behavior lead to an increase in some types of crime.

Main Topics

Police officers backed off on their proactive behavior as the result of both department policy during COVID, as well as the social pressure after the death of George Floyd.

Street-level officers demonstrated a significant reduction in some behavior.

Backing off on proactive behavior was associated with an increase in some types of violent and property crime.

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Anatomy of a Ferguson Cycle – by Charles Fain Lehman

Back in 2015, my Manhattan Institute colleague Heather MacDonald popularized the term “Ferguson effect” to refer to a dramatic increase in homicide which (the term and she implied) was caused by the wave of protests, in turn instigated by the killing of Michael Brown in Ferguson, Mo., the year before. The homicide rate rose 11 percent in 2015, and another 10 percent in 2016, before cresting and receding. This, MacDonald and others argued at the time, was the result of a reduction in police proactivity, itself caused by political attacks on and criticism of the police in the wake of Brown’s death (among other high-profile incidents).
— Read on thecausalfallacy.com/p/anatomy-of-a-ferguson-cycle

Harris/Biden deconstructing America: the Ferguson effect – American Thinker

The Ferguson Effect. It’s a term that entered common American usage after the August 09, 2014 death of Michael Brown, according to the Democrat/socialist/communist  (D/s/c) narrative, an unarmed black man, an 18 year old recent high school graduate with a bright future, murdered by a racist cop in Ferguson, Missouri, a racist town in a racist country.

But Brown, minutes before coming into contact with Ferguson Officer Darren Wilson, committed a strong-arm robbery. Brown, a 6’4”, nearly 300 pound, daily pot smoker and thug-in-training—his social media presence was full of thug themes–when approached by Wilson who asked him to stop walking down the middle of a busy street, viciously attacked Wilson, trapping him behind the steering wheel of his vehicle, badly beat him and tried to take his handgun. Wilson barely managed to retain it and in the struggle it discharged, slightly wounding Brown’s hand. Brown ran, but after a short distance, turned and lowering his head like a football lineman, made a berserker charge on Wilson who was forced to shoot Brown, stopping him essentially at his feet. 
— Read on www.americanthinker.com/blog/2024/10/harris_biden_deconstructing_america_the_ferguson_effect.html

Woke policies cost lives – American Thinker

Like many people around the country, I have noticed that the roads and highways of my town have become more dangerous and that the number of fatal crashes and hit-and-run incidents seemed to be more deadly and frequent.  I became curious and dug into the data.

The information led to some conclusions that were obvious, but unpopular.  The local police, politicians, and news outlets have no interest in exploring the problem from its source and instead offer study groups and costly infrastructure solutions rather that addressing the problem. I suspect that this dynamic is repeated in countless cities across the country. 
— Read on www.americanthinker.com/blog/2024/09/woke_policies_cost_lives.html

A Decade of Ignorance: Ferguson Inaugurated Ten Years of Lies About Race in America | The Heritage Foundation

This month marks the tenth anniversary of events that changed the trajectory of this country, and not for the better. On August 9, 2014, Darren Wilson fatally shot Michael Brown in Ferguson, Missouri. Riots erupted the next day and continued for months nationwide. Black Lives Matter exploited the mayhem it had helped cause, helping it swell into a malign global force. The activist model pioneered at Ferguson has had a lasting impact on American politics, as this year’s pro-Hamas demonstrations prove.
— Read on www.heritage.org/progressivism/commentary/decade-ignorance-ferguson-inaugurated-ten-years-lies-about-race-america

Police pullback linked to increases in crime

When police pull back, crime accelerates. But policing alone is no cure-all. That’s the takeaway from a new Denver-area study co-authored by researchers at CU Boulder and collaborators in Nebraska, Michigan, and South Carolina.
— Read on phys.org/news/2024-02-police-pullback-linked-crime.html

NOTE: In the article there is a like to the Academic Article which at the time of this post was available “free access”.

Arrests in Philadelphia nosedive while reported incidents increase

Interesting article on what is going on in Philadelphia. Is it the Krasner Effect? Read and decide.

Reported crime is up, arrests in Philadelphia are down. Experts disagree on the cause. A. Benjamin Mannes and Todd Shepherd break it down.
— Read on broadandliberty.com/2023/07/12/arrests-in-philadelphia-nosedive-while-reported-incidents-increased-over-last-five-years/

Breaking Down the 2020 Homicide Spike | Manhattan Institute

In 2020, amid the outbreak of the Covid-19 pandemic and the protests and riots surrounding the death of George Floyd, America’s homicide rate increased by an astonishing 30%, even as many less serious types of crime held steady or even declined.[1]The purpose of this brief is to describe the…
— Read on www.manhattan-institute.org/breaking-down-the-2020-homicide-spike